Mental Illness and Violence

William_Hogarth_019

From the Rake’s Progress, William Hogarth, Bedlam, 1733

Bethlehem Hospital, (Bedlam) London, the source from which many of our stereotypes of the mentally ill have come.

Author’s Note: I published this post about two and a half years ago on Daily Kos following the Sandy Hook killings. However, it applies as much today as it did then and I am confident that no new data have been published to substantially change any of the conclusions. Much of the research described here was conducted by teams of Psychologists, Psychiatrists and Sociologists, funded by The MacArthur foundation, since the congress has prevented any government funding of gun violence research since 1996. As I heard from a leader of the Second Amendment Foundation, “Conducting research on gun violence is tantamount to taking our guns away.” Clearly, they know where the research would lead.



 

There is rampant hysteria today about the mentally ill being dangerous and having access to guns. To some, the mentally ill are the major problem with gun violence. Take for example, Ann Coulter’s headline on Newsbusters.org: “Guns don’t kill people, the mentally ill do”.

Too often government policies are based on these erroneous beliefs as legislatures are spinning off new laws to constrain the mentally ill. New York State passed a law directing therapists to report any client thought to be “likely to engage in” violent behavior to the police. Such prediction is very difficult to do accurately and results in many false positives.

The impetus for the current flurry of concern is the Sandy Hook Elementary School shootings, coming on the tail of the Tucson and Aurora shootings. (to which I can now add, Colorado Springs, Umpqua Community College in Oregon, San Bernadino, ….) Contrary to the media hype, these horrific events are but a drop in the bucket of the scandalously high number of violent and murderous acts that happen in the U.S. daily. The vast majority of such acts of violence and murder are perpetrated by people who are not the seriously mentally ill. This is not to say that the perpetrators don’t have some of their own problems including anger, lack of self control, feelings of persecution and disenfranchisement, and misplaced desire for revenge, but most are not the seriously mentally ill.

Due to historical factors such as equating mental illness with evil and demon possession, along with disproportionate media coverage, the public has seriously over blown beliefs concerning the mentally ill and violence. Public perception is wrong and strong: 61% believe that people with schizophrenia were more likely to act violently to others, and 33% felt people with Major Depression were likely to be violent.

These beliefs are present throughout the media and popular culture. For example The Screen Actors Guild survey showed that characters in prime time TV portrayed as having mental illness are depicted as the most dangerous of all demographic groups: 60% are shown to be involved in crime or violence. Yet it is the currency of the high profile incidents along with the long standing superstition and stigma that pervades and molds the public’s and policy makers’ views of mental illness.

What are the facts?

There is now quite good epidemiological and population research both in the U.S. and abroad concerning the relationship between mental illness and violence that I will briefly review in an attempt to lay out the data as we know them today.

If you ask as many have, “Are the seriously mentally ill largely responsible for societal violence?” the answer is clearly and emphatically, “no.” Here we define Seriously Mentally Ill (SMI) as someone with a diagnosis of Schizophrenia, Bipolar Disorder, or Major Depression and related serious major mental disorders. Typically these are the people who are likely to end up in a mental hospital at some time in their lives. If you ask if SMI are disproportionately involved in violence, relative to the general population, you might get an answer of yes, or maybe, but only under certain circumstances. Taken without appropriate qualification, SMI is at best only slightly or not at all, disproportionately associated with violence. It is important to know what some of the qualifying circumstances are.

Until the past decade or so our data on SMI and violence was unclear and often contradictory. The extant studies were often restricted to certain locales and used convenience samples that were relatively easy to study. Most samples were not representative of all mentally ill individuals, but only of those with the highest risk of becoming dangerous, such as those who are hospitalized or arrested. Few studies assessed for the numerous socio-demographic, historical and clinical variables that themselves were significantly associated with violence. Thus, it was impossible to differentiate which factors were related to violent behavior and seldom were these variables all examined for their individual contributions. In the late 1990s, the MacArthur Foundation supported a series of studies that became the gold standard today for designing and conducting studies on violence and the mentally ill.

The MacArthur Violence Risk Assessment Study has produced a series of comprehensive studies taking into account the shortcomings of previous research. Their team of experts, headed by John Monahan, developed scientifically valid methods and procedures that have enabled replicable findings by others. These methods assess the major individual known risk factors for violence and their interactive relationships to the mentally ill.

Are Seriously Mentally ill patients dangerous and violence prone?

The first answer is at best, “marginally so” if we take into account whether they have some other more potent characteristics. The MacArthur studies and those that followed them find that the combination of a Serious Mental Illness diagnosis, along with a dual diagnosis of alcohol or substance abuse, is the most important combination for predicting violence from the mentally ill. This association is also found to hold across several U.S. communities studied as well as other countries including Sweden and Canada. And yet, people with these characteristics account for but a small fraction of violence in our societies.

Perhaps the most consistent and important finding of these and subsequent studies is that simply using the category of “SMI” grossly overestimates the role of mental illness in violence. A major conclusion from the MacArthur studies follows:

The prevalence of violence among patients discharged from a hospital and who do not have symptoms of substance abuse is about the same as the prevalence of violence among non-SMI other people living in their communities who do not have symptoms of substance abuse. That is, knowing that someone has just been released from a mental hospital does not help you predict violence unless you know that they also have a dual diagnosis of Substance Abuse. Although they do have an elevated risk for violence, relative to the general population, it is not different from those living in the same geographic and socioeconomic circumstances.

Thus, it is not SMI itself that is associated with violent behavior but its interaction with substance abuse along with a number of other factors including where they live when they return from a hospital stay.

What other variables contribute to predicting violence in the mentally ill?

The MacArthur studies also found a number of other independent risk factors that were statistically important in predicting violence in addition to substance abuse among the SMI. These factors include: Antisocial Personality Disorder, being male, and of younger age. Family experiences such as having been abused as a child and having a father who used drugs were also of importance as were having had prior arrests, difficulties with anger control, violent fantasies, and feeling threatened. Recent stressors such as divorce, victimization, and unemployment were also statistically related to violence among patients. These are the same factors that are predictive of violence in any group.

These studies have made it clear that simply having a SMI diagnosis tells us relatively little about whether a given person will act in a violent manner. Rather to understand the role of SMI in violence one must take into account these socio-historical, economic, and clinical factors. Given the newer methodologies, these findings have been substantively replicated now.

Another major clinical risk factor associated with SMI and violence is whether they are under treatment at the time and are complying with their medication regime. Thus treatment availability and maintenance is critically important.

Alcohol or other drug abuse problems combined with poor adherence to medication may signal a higher risk of violent behavior among persons with serious mental illness. Reduction of such risk may require carefully targeted community interventions, including integrated mental health and substance abuse treatment. The combination of medication noncompliance and alcohol or substance abuse problems was significantly associated with serious violent acts in the community, after sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were controlled.

Who are the victims?

In those cases where a SMI person does display violence, their actions are seldom random. Rather they typically involve family members (87%) and, occur at home as is true for most acts of violence in the community. In the MacArthur studies, only 10.7% of violent acts among discharged patients were toward complete strangers. Comparable figures for such violence toward strangers among community controls (non-patients) was 22.2%.Thus, the mentally ill are only half as likely to harm strangers as people from a general community population.

Most people with SMI are not violent and most violent acts are not committed by people with SMI. In fact, people with SMI are actually at higher risk of being victims of violence than perpetrators. One study by Teplin et al. found that those with SMI are 11 times more likely to be victims of violent crime than the general population. And another found victimization to be somewhat less but still the rate was two and a half times greater than in the general population–8.2 percent versus 3.1 percent. This heightened risk for victimization is likely in part due to often living in undesirable neighborhoods and being homeless.

Another sad truth is the SMI are often their own victim in that the most common form of violence associated with mental illness is not against others, but rather, against oneself. In 2007, there were almost 35,000 suicides, nearly twice the rate of homicides (14,612). Suicide is the 10th leading cause of death in the United States. Although we do not know the exact numbers of SMI who commit suicide, it is safe to say that unrecognized, untreated mental illness is a leading culprit. The major method of suicide is by firearms – over 50%.

The rate of suicide among patients diagnosed with Schizophrenia is estimated to be ~5%, much higher than the general population. The rate for major affective disorders such as Major Depression and Bipolar Disorder is even higher. Taken together, suicide takes a huge toll on SMI.

How much physical violence in our society can be attributed to persons with SMI?

Swanson and colleagues reported population attributable risks for self-reported physical violence.

For those with a major mental disorder, the population attributable risk for physical violence was 4.3%, indicating that violence in the community could be reduced by less than five percent if major mental disorders could be eliminated. The population attributable risk for those with a substance abuse disorder was 34%, and for those with a comorbid mental illness and substance abuse disorder it was 5%. Therefore, by these estimates, violence in the community might be reduced by only 10% if both major mental disorders and comorbid disorders were eliminated. However, violence could be reduced by over a third if substance abuse disorders were eliminated.
(Swanson JW. Mental disorder, substance abuse, and community violence: an epidemiologic approach. In: Monahan J, Steadman HJ, editors. Violence and mental disorder: developments in risk assessment.Chicago: University of Chicago Press; 1994. pp. 101–136)

 

A Canadian study similarly found 3% of violent crimes attributable to SMI and 7% to substance abusers. A study of Swedish patients found an attributable risk of 5.2% of patients including those with substance abuse disorders. So, the estimates from several studies and countries suggest that by removing the mentally ill from society, we could reduce violent crime by between 3 and 5%, leaving 95 to 97 percent of societal violence untouched.

So, Ann Coulter is wrong, Wayne LaPierre is wrong, and the general public is misinformed. The seriously mentally ill are not the major causes of violence in the U.S. or elsewhere in the world. Although some mentally ill are involved in violent acts, their participation has less to do with being mentally ill per se than it does with their family experience, past and current living circumstances, alcohol and drug abuse, and lack of adherence to a treatment program. Elimination of all serious mental illness at best would lower the violence rate by about 3 to 5%. Although this percentage is not to be ignored, the intense focus on such a small percentage of the problem detracts from the vast majority of the violence pie – the other 96%. And, recall that one third of violence risk is accounted for by alcohol and substance abuse.

Should we be putting our tax money, legislative, and policy efforts into registering the mentally ill, forcing therapists to report their clients to the police, and further stigmatizing and demonizing them? Should we allow lobbing efforts to prevail that maintain the status quo such as that promulgated by the NRA?

When a CDC study found that having a gun in the home, tripled the chances that a family member would get shot, the NRA stepped in. An Arkansas representative, Jay Dickey added language to a 1996 federal law that barred the CDC from conducting research that might be used ”to advocate or promote gun control.” We are fortunate that President Obama recently instructed the CDC to resume studying causes and prevention of gun violence. [Scientific American (editors), March 2013 issue, page 10.]

 

Where should we be putting our money and efforts to reduce violence?

Here are my data-based suggestions for combating violence of all kinds:

• Fund more violence research, particularly domestic violence, gun violence, and how these co-occur,

• Develop more treatment and prevention programs for alcohol and substance abuse, mental illness, and dual    diagnosis of mental illness and substance abuse,

• Enhance education of the public about the nature of mental illness, its causes and treatments, with a focus on    reducing its social stigma,

• Examine social policies that produce income inequality and other risk factors for violence that result from poverty and  homeless.

 

10 Comments

  1. This is a piece I wrote a couple of years ago but unfortunately, it is still quite current and perhaps even more so now. Relative to our violence profile, if we have changed at all, it seems to have gotten worse.

  2. You are being too kind. Here let me fix this:

    Ann Coulter is wrong, Wayne LaPierre is wrong, and the general public is misinformed being lied to.

    You might enjoy reading this article from Vox: Why mass shootings don’t convince gun owners to support gun control. It includes a discussion about the psychology of gun ownership and why it is so easy to lie to these folks – the lies are all they have!

    Let us imagine, then, a conservative gun owner — an older white gentleman, let’s say, in his 50s, living in the Rust Belt somewhere. When he was growing up, there was living memory of a familiar order: men working in honorable trade or manufacturing jobs, women tending home and children, Sundays at church, hard work yielding a steady rise up the ladder to a well-earned house, yard, and car.

    That order was crumbling just as our gun owner inherited it. The honorable jobs are gone, or going. It’s hell to find work, benefits are for shit, and there isn’t much put aside for retirement. The kids are struggling with debt and low-paying jobs. They know, and our gun owner knows, that they probably aren’t going to have a better life than he did — that the very core of the American promise has proven false for them, for the first time in generations.

    It’s a bitter, helpless feeling. And for someone naturally attuned to “order, structure, closure, certainty, consistency, simplicity, and familiarity,” it’s scary. The role he thought he was meant to play in the world, the privileges and respect that came along with it, have been thrown into doubt. Everything is shifting under his feet.

    Over the last few years, our gun owner has found a whole network of TV channels, radio shows, books, blogs, and Facebook groups that speak directly to his unease. They understand the world he heard about from his father and grandfather, the world that’s being lost; they understand the urgency of saving what’s left of it.

    Most of all, with his already heightened sensitivity to threat further aggravated by economic uncertainty, they finally help him see who’s to blame. They show him the immigrants crowding in, using up jobs and benefits that were promised to American workers. They show him minorities demanding handouts that are paid for with his taxes, even as they riot, even as they kill each other and the police. The show him terrorists making a mockery of weak American leadership. They show him elitist liberals, professors and entertainers, disdaining his values and mocking his religion.

    And it is such a relief, to finally put a face to all the ambient dread, to have some clarity again, to know who the good guys and bad guys are. Our gun owner is a good guy, thankfully, from the kind of self-reliant stock that settled this country.

    t seems like America’s decline is a done deal, that the tide of liberal rot is unstoppable. But the one place he knows he can draw the line is at his door, on his private property, because he has a gun. He can defend his own. If the minorities riot again, or immigrant criminals move in nearby, or terrorists attack, or some wackjob goes on a shooting spree, or Obama comes for his guns … well, that’s what the guns are for. He’s given up a lot, but he won’t give up his autonomy or the safety of his family. He’ll defend that to the end.

    To our gun owner, another mass shooting is not an argument for getting rid of guns. It’s a confirmation of his every instinct, another sign of moral and societal decay, another reason to arm himself and defend what he’s got left.

    Quoted liberally.

    • David Atkins at WaMo, building off of that Vox article, believes that gun control will never be an election issue that will “grab” people and that we need to quit nationalizing it and go after individual politicians directly:

      … the activist left spends far too much of its time and energy on protest, petition and visibility campaigns and far too little on nuts-and-bolts electoral organizing. I provided our failure to enact commonsense gun control as an object lesson: the public broadly supports gun control, but the NRA has the voter mobilization power to protect and unseat legislators, while MoveOn.org and the Brady Campaign do not. […]

      The simple reality is that most voters who favor gun control end up going to the voting booth with other issues at the top of mind: the economy, healthcare, taxes, education, the size of government, war and peace, etc. Gun control isn’t really at the top of the priority list—and most Democratic groups in competitive races try to keep it that way in order to avoid the interference of the NRA in their particular battle.

      The only way to change that dynamic would be for a heavily funded group with an interest in ousting pro-gun extremists, to leverage a significant field and targeted advertising investment in as many specific races as they have a budget for, with the specific goal of bringing the gun control to the top of voters’ minds as election day approaches. … They should be in the nuts-and-bolts business of ruining the electoral prospects of a few specific NRA lackeys by raising the motivation and awareness of pro-gun-control voters during election season.

      Right now it is too easy to choose the NRA because we don’t put any pressure on the politicians to agonize over what that choice will do to their electoral prospects.

      • David Atkins makes an interesting argument, and while I agree with him re gun control I am increasingly concerned re single issue voting, especially when abortion rights are the motivating issue. While reading this I’m remembering an unsettling conversation with my physical therapist last year. She is a skilled therapist and an intelligent woman, yet her beliefs re abortion drive her decisions re voting, and the look on her face as she explained that was alarming.

        So how do we focus on electing officials who will vote for safer gun control laws yet avoid the problems of ideologically driven voting?

        • Excellent question! That was my concern also when reading the Atkins piece. When we make people single issue voters, we risk having them overlook the forest for the trees. I want voters who care about climate change and healthcare for all and voting rights and income inequality and civil rights and commonsense gun controls. I don’t want any of them to be purists such as we often see on the lefty blogs (“I will never vote for him/her because of their position on the death penalty!”). So it is a fine needle to thread. I would tell them to just vote for Democrats to get all of it (or at least some steps towards those goals). But now we have Democrats being total jerks about Syrian refugees so how do I convince them that ALL Democratic officeholders will do the right thing?

          This will need some refinement. But I think the conversation about signing petitions versus getting our folks elected is critically important.

      • Thanks for this reference too JanF. I particularly like this quote and believe that one on one is an effective way to go.

        They should be in the nuts-and-bolts business of ruining the electoral prospects of a few specific NRA lackeys by raising the motivation and awareness of pro-gun-control voters during election season.

        I also wonder what it is about politicians that drive them to seek and stay in office at all costs, including what seems to be selling their souls to NRA, big money, etc.

    • Thanks for adding that vox article JanF. One can easily see a scenario like that developing and I expect that in part describes the republicans appeal to so many these days. But still, I don’t think that they are the ones doing the majority of the violence, although domestic violence would fit in there. And the mass shootings also don’t account for a very large percentage of the killings either, they just get the attention.

      It seems that no single scenario captures a majority of the shooters. As we look at the risk factors, they are varied providing multiple plausible scenarios. The main things they have in common is that they have easy access to guns and for the most part are male and often there is substance abuse involved. Since we can’t do much about the male part, we need to concentrate on the parts that we can potentially control and that is the availability of guns and provide both preventive and treatment avenues for the substance abuse.

      Jail has become the holding tank for many of these folk as well as the de facto mental health repository. That is one more place to focus attention. Since many killers have records, we know where to find them.

      No easy answers for sure but we surly can do better than we are.

      • This common denominator: “easy access to guns”.

        In Wisconsin we used to have a 48-hour waiting period to buy a gun which had the bonus that someone who was angry or drunk or upset would have 48 hours to cool down or get sober. That was repealed by the Republicans who run our state … they called it an “anachronism” to have to wait because databases showing who can buy are “instantaneous”. We don’t have any information yet on if this has caused an increase in anger shootings … and we may never have any because gun violence statistics are protected by the Second Amendment, somehow. But common sense suggests that a cooling off period is of great value in many of these cases.

  3. Thanks for posting this – will pass it on to those who make assertions like Coulter’s. .

    • Thanks Denise,
      The more people who are exposed to this information the better. I would love it if it could change just a few minds on the issue of the mentally ill being the cause of the gun violence.

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